Solar Scientist Says Next Ice Age Overdue
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7 July 07
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"The next ice age is overdue"
7 Jul 07 - Solar scientist David Archibald's paper to Lavoisier Group seminar showing evidence that the world will cool between now and 2030.
Excerpts: "The next ice age is overdue.
"Ken Schatten is the solar physicist with the best track record in predicting solar cycles. His work suggests a return to the advancing glaciers and delayed spring snow melt of the Little Ice Age, for an indeterminate period.
"In the near term, the Earth will experience a significant cooling due to a quieter Sun.
"In a few short years, we will have a reversal of the warming of the 20th century.
"Our generation has bathed in the warm glow of a benign, giving Sun, but the next will suffer a Sun that is less giving, and the Earth will be less fruitful.
"If it doesn’t feel hotter than it was in 1980, it is because it isn’t hotter than it was in 1980.
"Most rural temperature records in the United States were set in the 1930s and 1940s. Greenland had its highest recorded temperatures in the 1930s and has been cooler since.
"The hottest year to date in the United States was 1936.
"What I have shown in this presentation is that carbon dioxide is largely irrelevant to the Earth’s climate. The carbon dioxide that Mankind will put into the atmosphere over the next few hundred years will offset a couple of millennia of post-Holocene Optimum cooling before we plunge into the next ice age.
"There is no correlation in the geologic record between atmospheric carbon dioxide and global temperature. The Earth went into an ice age 450 million years ago despite a level of atmospheric carbon dioxide that is ten times what it is today.
"There are no deleterious consequences of higher atmospheric carbon dioxide levels.
"Higher atmospheric carbon dioxide levels are wholly beneficial. Anthropogenic Global Warming is so minuscule that the effect cannot be measured from year to year, and even from generation to generation.
"Coral reefs first formed back in the Devonian period when atmospheric carbon dioxide levels were ten times what they are today."
See entire paper (all 24 pages) at:
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