Not by Fire but by Ice


Discover What Killed the Dinosaurs . . . and Why it Could Soon Kill Us


Record low temperatures in Switzerland …
but it’s still global warming?


24 Feb 09 – “Temperatures sink to record lows while snow depths are twice the normal level - is Switzerland's seemingly abnormal winter another indicator of climate change?”

“Bern University climatologist Heinz Wanner tells swissinfo that although the current winter season may appear colder and snowier than usual the larger historical picture shows it isn't as severe as it seems.”

              Record cold and twice the normal amount of snow - and this guy says
              it’s caused by humans.

“The head of the Climatology and Meteorology Research Group (Klimet), Wanner has for three decades been studying the climate to reconstruct conditions as they were up to 10,000 years ago. He's also working to understand the influence humans have had on weather patterns.”

            Wanner explains that the deep cold and record snow can be blamed
            on a “cold anomaly in southwest and central Europe.” “It’s local,”
            he says. It's a “natural cycle,” he says, but that doesn't mean humans
            aren't influencing those events.

“swissinfo: So why do we have so much snow then?”

“H.W.: A major mode of the climate system is the North Atlantic Oscillation. That's an index that defines the westerly winds and whether they are strong or weak. It's calculated by looking at air pressure between the Azores and Iceland. If it's high or positive, the westerly winds are strong, and winds over the continent tend to be warm. If it's low or negative, we have a more northerly flow with cold air, snow and cooler winters. This winter is a typical negative situation, which can even mean wind out of the east, which is extremely cold. That happened in 1956 and 1963 when the lakes froze in Switzerland and we could skate on them. But it's a seesaw. While it's cold here, northeast Europe is warm.”

           The North Atlantic Oscillation. Yes, this almost looks like an honest
. It’s funny, though, how whenever it’s cooling, it’s a “natural
          cycle,” but whenever it’s warming, it’s caused by humans. And if it’s
          simply "a seesaw," how come we’re seeing record lows?

          Record highs? Oh m’God, it must be our fault! Record lows? Ah, forget
          about it, they’re not all that unusual.

“swissinfo: Humans are incredibly adaptable. Is there not a way for us to just live with a warming climate?”

“H.W.: The only problem with global change is that we have enough money in these northern continents to adapt but what will people do in the not-so-developed areas like Africa? They don't have enough water today and the available water will decrease. In policy, we really have to deal with this situation and help these other countries. If we don't help with our technology and do not find the best solution we will see huge problems in the future.”

          Ahhh. That gets to the crux of it, doesn’t it? It’s about sending your
          money somewhere else. I wonder who will get to decide how that
          money is spent?

         See entire swissinfo-interview by Tim Neville. I think Neville asked
         good questions, but I’m not so sure about the answers.

        If “natural cycles” are the answer, then how come they don’t look at
        the 105,000-year natural cycle of rising temperatures and then a swift
        decline into an ice age? (It's caused by orbital stretch - see "Not by
        Fire but by Ice.")

        If “natural cycles” are the answer, then how come they don’t look at
        the 11,500-year cycle of ice ages? (See Pacemaker of the ice ages)
Thanks to Stephanie Relfe for this link





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