Not by Fire but by Ice





It's getting colder, not warmer

By Alan Caruba - 7 Nov 2005

In 1922, the poet Robert Frost wrote,

"Some say the world will end in fire,
some say in ice.
From what I've tasted of desire
I hold with those who favor fire,
but if it had to perish twice,
I think that for destruction ice
is also great
and would suffice."

“The likelihood, the science, points to ice.

“It is well known that, of the course of billions of years, the earth has gone through warming and cooling cycles ... It has been warmer in the past such as during the millions of years that dinosaurs existed. The earth, however, is not showing signs of significant warming. The Ice Shelf in Greenland and Antarctic is actually getting thicker and, in 2004, the temperature in the Artic grew noticeably cooler.

“This is not something to be ignored because the earth has been in an interglacial period between ice ages that lasts about 11,200 years and we are due another ice age any day now.

“Just as there is nothing mankind can do to prevent a bogus global warming, there is likely nothing we can do to avoid the very real prospect of the next ice age. When it comes it will be extinction time for people, plants and animals north of the Equator. That's the way it was the last time. Indeed, in the course of its five billion years, the earth has experienced such extinctions on a regular basis.

“While the environmentalists have flooded the classrooms and media of America with endless nonsense about global warming, the fact is that the schedules, i.e. the movement of the earth around the sun, galactic timetables, and ways in which the earth and our solar system function are well known to scientists who study these things and, frankly, none if it bodes well for the human race and other critters.

“At least, that is the conclusion of Robert W. Felix, the author of Not by Fire, But by Ice. Piling scientific fact upon fact, Felix notes that, "We're beginning to realize that earth is a violent and dangerous place to live. We're beginning to realize that mass extinctions have been the rule, rather than the exception for the 3.5 billion years that life has existed on earth."

“There's environmental propaganda and then there is hard, cold science. No pun intended. Here's what Felix writes:

"Then, about 11,500 years ago, the ice age ended. And it ended fast. As the world grew warmer, tropical animals moved back into Europe, and the barren tundra filled with trees once again…It was a global sweep of death—mass extinction—destroying not only the mammoth, but some 75% of all of America's larger mammals. But why only the big ones? And why so fast?"

“It hardly does justice to Felix and his book to try to encapsulate his view that a predictable reversal of the magnetic poles will act as a trigger for the next ice age and it is not the much ballyhooed global warming that troubles Felix, but evidence that vast, unseen, underwater volcanic warming of the earth's oceans will bring about the next ice age. As the oceans warm, evaporation increases, which leads to more precipitation and when the excess precipitation begins falling as snow, it portends a new ice age.

"There is a cycle," says Felix, "a cycle that includes orogenesis (creation of mountains), seismic activity, sea level changes, black shale deposition, volcanism, extinctions, seafloor spreading and magnetic reversals." (To learn more, visit

“Felix has peered into the past and into the future to warn us all to bundle up.

“Is he right? I hope not, but am not so sure he isn't right.”

 Alan Caruba writes a weekly commentary, "Warning Signs", posted on the Internet site of The National Anxiety Center. Alan Caruba, 2005


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Order Book l E-Mail Robert l Q & A l Book Reviews l Plant Hardiness Zone Maps l Radio Interviews l Table of Contents l Excerpts l Author Photo l Pacemaker of the Ice Ages l Extent of Previous Glaciation l Crane Buried in Antarctic Ice Sheet l Ice Ages and Magnetic Reversals l Expanding Glaciers