Not by Fire but by Ice
THE NEXT ICE AGE - NOW!
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Updated 7 Sep 06 - I first published this forecast by
Dr. Landscheidt in 2003. However, with the
recent reported cooling of the Atlantic Ocean, and with the first reversed
sunspot of what may be the beginning of the next solar cycle, and with
scientists predicting a new Little Ice Age, I thought it would be an
to give more credit to Dr. Landscheidt. He had been predicting this
Here's what Dr. Landscheidt had to say:
of the sun's activity in the last two millennia indicates that, contrary
probability is high that the minima around 2030 and 2201 will go along
need not wait until 2030 to see whether the forecast is correct, however.
total magnetic flux leaving the Sun has risen by a factor of 2.3 since
bottom cores from the Yukatan
solar eruptions do not accumulate around the sunspot maximum. In most
need to take the sun seriously as a factor in climate change, including
* * *
I’m sorry to report that Dr. Theodor
Landscheidt passed away on May 20, 2004. Founder
It can be seen," added Landscheidt, "that the Gleissberg
minimum around 2030 and a
This confirms what I've been saying all along; that our climate is controlled by magnetic activity on the sun.
It also makes my assertion that "we'll be admitting that we're headed into an ice age by the year 2012" seem a lot more plausible.
* * *
Landscheidt's forecasts include the end of the great Sahelian drought; the last five extremes in global temperature anomalies; the last three El Niņos; and the course of the last La Niņa. He predicted extreme River Po discharges beginning in October 2000, some seven months before they began.
forecast skill, says Landscheidt, solely based on solar cycles, is
Here are more references and links:
Landscheidt, T. (1976): Beziehungen zwischen der Sonnenaktivität und dem Massenzentrum des Sonnensystems. Nachrichten der Olbersgesellschaft 100, 2-19.
Landscheidt, T. (1983): Solar oscillations, sunspot cycles, and climatic change. In: McCormac, B. M., ed.: Weather and climate responses to solar variations. Boulder, Associated University Press, 293-308.
Landscheidt, T. (1986 a): Long-range forecast of energetic x-ray bursts based on cycles of flares. In: Simon, P. A., Heckman, G. und Shea, M. A., eds.: Solar-terrestrial predictions. Proceedings of a workshop at Meudon, 18.-22. June 1984. Boulder, National Oceanic andAtmospheric Administration, 81-89.
Landscheidt, T. (1986 b): Long-range forecast of sunspot
cycles. In: Simon, P. A.,
Landscheidt, T. (1987): Long-range forecasts of solar
cycles and climate change. In:
Landscheidt, T. (1988): Solar rotation, impulses of the
torque in the Sun's motion, and
Landscheidt, T.(1990): Relationship between rainfall in
the northern hemisphere and
Landscheidt, T.(1995): Global warming or Little Ice Age?
In: Finkl, C. W., ed.:
Landscheidt, T. (1998 a): Forecast of global temperature, El Niņo, and cloud coverage by astronomical means. In: Bate, R., ed.: Global Warming. The continuing debate. Cambridge, The European Science and Environment Forum (ESEF), 172-183.
Landscheidt, T. (1998 b): Solar activity : A dominant factor in climate dynamics. http://www.john-daly.com/solar/solar.htm
Landscheidt, T. (1999 a): Solar activity controls El Niņo and La Niņa. http://www.john-daly.com/sun-enso/sun-enso.htm
Landscheidt, T. (1999 b): Extrema in sunspot cycle
linked to Sun's motion. Solar
Landscheidt, T. (2000 a): Solar forcing of El Niņo and
La Niņa. European Space
Landscheidt, T. (2000 b): River Po discharges and cycles
of solar activity. Hydrol.
Landscheidt, T. (2000 c): Sun's role in the satellite-balloon-surface issue. http://www.john-daly.com/solar/temps.htm
Landscheidt, T. (2000 d): New confirmation of strong solar forcing of climate. http://www.john-daly.com/po.htm
Landscheidt, T. (2000e): Solar wind near Earth:
Indicator of variations in global
Landscheidt, T. (2001 a): Solar eruptions linked to North Atlantic Oscillation. http://www.john-daly.com/theodor/DecadalEnso.htm
Landscheidt, T. (2001 b): Trends in Pacific Decadal
Oscillation subjected to solar
Landscheidt, T. (2002): El Niņo Forecast Revisited. http://www.john-daly.com/sun-enso/revisit.htm
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